Locked On Ole Miss Hit - Quick Takes on Ole Miss Rebels Football & Basketball

The Projections Banked This Ole Miss Win. The Market Did Not

Episode Summary

John Talty at CBS Sports has Ole Miss as the No. 4 seed in his playoff projection and Florida nowhere in his top twelve. Matt Hayes at USA TODAY had Ole Miss No. 1 in their playoff predictor. The betting market has Florida favored. Those are two industries looking at the same game and reaching opposite conclusions — and only one of them loses money when it is wrong. This show does not handicap and does not issue picks; odds are cited as evidence. Segment two: Florida has 22 penalties for 208 yards in three games, a shade under 70 yards a game, off Florida's own statistics page. Allie Peek, who covers the program, said on this show that it "has to stop, because you can't win making that many crucial mental errors against better teams." The fair side both ways: a projection is a snapshot of a résumé, not a prediction, and Talty's rests on Ole Miss having two better wins than almost anyone. And three games is a small penalty sample for a team averaging 54 points a game. Where does this one turn? Locked On Ole Miss Hits — quick takes on the Rebels every weekday. Subscribe and hit the bell. Hotty Toddy. #OleMiss #HottyToddy #SEC #Gators #CollegeFootball #Rebels #CFBPlayoff

Episode Notes

John Talty at CBS Sports has Ole Miss as the No. 4 seed in his playoff projection and Florida nowhere in his top twelve. Matt Hayes at USA TODAY had Ole Miss No. 1 in their playoff predictor. The betting market has Florida favored.

Those are two industries looking at the same game and reaching opposite conclusions — and only one of them loses money when it is wrong. This show does not handicap and does not issue picks; odds are cited as evidence.

Segment two: Florida has 22 penalties for 208 yards in three games, a shade under 70 yards a game, off Florida's own statistics page. Allie Peek, who covers the program, said on this show that it "has to stop, because you can't win making that many crucial mental errors against better teams."

The fair side both ways: a projection is a snapshot of a résumé, not a prediction, and Talty's rests on Ole Miss having two better wins than almost anyone. And three games is a small penalty sample for a team averaging 54 points a game.

Where does this one turn?

Locked On Ole Miss Hits — quick takes on the Rebels every weekday. Subscribe and hit the bell. Hotty Toddy.

#OleMiss #HottyToddy #SEC #Gators #CollegeFootball #Rebels #CFBPlayoff