FanDuel has Ole Miss -10.5 at Vanderbilt with a total of 57.5 and a moneyline of -450 — FanDuel's numbers as carried by VegasInsider on Sunday, October 4. It opened -10.5 and no movement has been recorded. Three things fall out of that. A -450 moneyline implies about an 82% win probability, nine days after a 52-28 loss. Backing out home field, the market rates Ole Miss roughly 13 points better than Vanderbilt on neutral ground. And 57.5 with a 10.5-point spread prices the game near 34-23 — the market is pricing Vanderbilt to score in the twenties. Segment two looks down the rest of the SEC board. Missouri is a 3-point favorite over Texas A&M after hanging 45 points and 560 yards on Florida — and Missouri comes to Oxford on October 17. Georgia is a road favorite at Alabama a week after Alabama scored 56 on the road at a ranked team, with FanDuel at -1.5 while other books sit near -3. And Florida, beaten by 28 on Saturday, is still laying 14 at home. The honest counterweight: a line is an opinion with money behind it, not a prediction. Markets are wrong constantly. This show cites odds as evidence, never issues a pick, and never tells anyone what to bet. Which number on that board worries you most? Tell me in the comments. Locked On Ole Miss Hits — quick takes on the Rebels every weekday. Subscribe and hit the bell. Hotty Toddy. #OleMiss #HottyToddy #SECFootball #CollegeFootball #Vanderbilt #Missouri #RebelNation
FanDuel has Ole Miss -10.5 at Vanderbilt with a total of 57.5 and a moneyline of -450 — FanDuel's numbers as carried by VegasInsider on Sunday, October 4. It opened -10.5 and no movement has been recorded.
Three things fall out of that. A -450 moneyline implies about an 82% win probability, nine days after a 52-28 loss. Backing out home field, the market rates Ole Miss roughly 13 points better than Vanderbilt on neutral ground. And 57.5 with a 10.5-point spread prices the game near 34-23 — the market is pricing Vanderbilt to score in the twenties.
Segment two looks down the rest of the SEC board. Missouri is a 3-point favorite over Texas A&M after hanging 45 points and 560 yards on Florida — and Missouri comes to Oxford on October 17. Georgia is a road favorite at Alabama a week after Alabama scored 56 on the road at a ranked team, with FanDuel at -1.5 while other books sit near -3. And Florida, beaten by 28 on Saturday, is still laying 14 at home.
The honest counterweight: a line is an opinion with money behind it, not a prediction. Markets are wrong constantly. This show cites odds as evidence, never issues a pick, and never tells anyone what to bet.
Which number on that board worries you most? Tell me in the comments.
Locked On Ole Miss Hits — quick takes on the Rebels every weekday.
Subscribe and hit the bell. Hotty Toddy.
#OleMiss #HottyToddy #SECFootball #CollegeFootball #Vanderbilt #Missouri #RebelNation